How long do you think an Iranian blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would actually last—months, weeks, days… or just a few nervous hours? Iran doesn’t control the whole Strait, only its half, and while it might look like a bottleneck on a map, in reality it’s a wide-open corridor where the best they can do is scatter mines and lob drones like a desperate street thug trying to hold up a freeway. The moment they try, it’s not just Western navies that will show up—it’s the entire global economy kicking down the door. And here’s the twist: the U.S. doesn’t even need Gulf oil anymore. It’s the world’s biggest producer. But China? China lives on that crude—Saudi, Emirati, Iraqi, not just Iranian—and if Tehran starts choking the tap, let’s see how long that brotherhood lasts once Beijing realizes it’s being economically strangled by its so-called partner. A blockade, if it ever comes, won’t be a war—it’ll be a tantrum with a very short shelf life.
Letter from the Middle East: Iran-Israel war risks dire straits
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About the Author: Rudolf Huber
