Don’t Mistake Retreat for Repentance

“New York wisely guts landmark climate law.”

Wisely?

Really?

Does anyone seriously believe the people writing these laws have suddenly experienced a moment of clarity? That they woke up one morning, examined the evidence, admitted their mistakes and decided that, from now on, they would serve the public interest rather than the political one?

I don’t.

Politics rarely works that way.

Institutions almost never abandon a grand project because they have discovered humility. They abandon it because they have reached the limits of what can be financed, justified or sold to the public.

That is a very different thing.

New York’s lawmakers are not necessarily becoming wiser. They may simply be running out of road.

Every political project eventually collides with reality. Budgets stop stretching. Borrowing becomes more expensive. Investors lose enthusiasm. Taxpayers become restless. Markets begin asking awkward questions that slogans cannot answer.

When the flow of money begins to slow, political convictions have a remarkable habit of becoming flexible.

After all, every ambitious programme depends on a constant supply of capital, influence and institutional support. Once those foundations begin to weaken, priorities change with astonishing speed.

The speeches remain.

The principles remain.

The press conferences remain.

But the direction quietly reverses.

Not because anyone has had a change of heart.

Because circumstances have changed.

Politics is often less about ideology than it is about maintaining the machinery that keeps ideology alive.

Once the machinery starts running short of fuel, even the loudest believers begin looking for the nearest exit.

But anyone expecting this to mark the end of the story is likely to be disappointed.

Repealing a law is easy.

Dismantling an entire ecosystem built around that law is something else entirely.

Over the years an enormous bureaucratic and financial infrastructure has grown around climate policy.

There are agencies whose budgets depend upon it.

Consultancies whose business models depend upon it.

Universities whose research funding depends upon it.

Companies whose valuations depend upon it.

Activist organisations whose entire identity depends upon it.

Thousands upon thousands of careers have been built upon assumptions that suddenly look far less secure than they once did.

For many people this is not merely a political disagreement.

It is the organising principle of their professional lives.

When that foundation begins to crack, resistance is inevitable.

Not because everyone involved is dishonest.

But because human beings defend the structures that feed them.

That is one of the oldest political laws there is.

The result is that even if lawmakers retreat, the institutions they created do not simply disappear.

Large bureaucracies have a remarkable instinct for self-preservation.

Projects that should have ended years ago continue under different names.

Funding streams are redirected rather than eliminated.

Committees are reorganised instead of dissolved.

The narrative evolves just enough to justify another budget cycle.

The machine learns to survive.

That is why political reversals rarely produce clean endings.

They produce long periods of institutional decay.

What follows is usually not reform.

It is a slow struggle between a changing reality and organisations desperately trying to preserve the world in which they made sense.

So no, I would not celebrate the repeal of a few laws as though the battle were over.

The legislation may be retreating.

The bureaucracy, the incentives and the careers built upon it remain very much alive.

And those are far harder to repeal than words written on paper.

https://www.cfact.org/2026/07/06/new-york-wisely-guts-landmark-climate-law/